Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 52 · v1

Severe Weather near Long Beach

NassauUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 12 June 2026 at 23:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 71 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued June 12 at 7:34PM EDT until June 12 at 7:45PM EDT by NWS Upton NY

Urban PEI: 26,639,838 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)52 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.80/1
Coordinates40.5955, -73.6780
Nearest CityLong Beach (2 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)26.6M within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-12T23:34:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d8c8180050fe86e536724bd616ec0301

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-12T23:34:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-06-12T23:36:05.761Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
100
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescSouth Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay; Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM; Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued June 12 at 7:34PM EDT until June 12 at 7:45PM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Expires2026-06-12T19:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Upton NY
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d8c8180050fe86e536724bd616ec03012fecee7f.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d4d2bb1f18c6731a365f8e643ec9f2167231ec69.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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